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Economic growth is expected to pick up in 2017, but uncertainty about the new US administration (potential protectionist trade policies) casts a shadow.
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Consultez une photographie des risques et performances des principaux secteurs d’activité dans plus de 30 pays. Cette analyse s’appuie sur les informations collectées par les arbitres d’Atradius.
Changes in the average payment terms and payment delays brought an increase in Taiwan’s average payment duration which is the second highest in the region.
In 2018, economic growth is expected to remain above 2%, sustained by domestic and international demand. The momentum is forecast to slow down in 2019.
Economic expansion remains broad-based, driven by private consumption and business investments, while export growth is sustained by the eurozone demand.
In 2018 and 2019 economic growth is expected to moderate somewhat but to remain robust, with private consumption and investment remaining the key drivers.
A potential downside risk would be another deterioration in house prices, given high levels of mortgage debt and banks’ exposure to the housing market.
A potential downside risk to the economic performance could be the high household debt in case of sharp house price decreases and interest rate increases.
British business insolvencies are expected to rise again in 2018, mainly affecting businesses active in the construction, retail and hospitality sectors.
Since H2 of 2017 economic growth has recovered from low copper prices and lower demand from China, strikes in the mining sector and weaker domestic demand.
Since H2 of 2017 GDP growth has started to accelerate again, due to a more supportive external environment and the effects of monetary policy stimulus.