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Global Economic Outlook - November 2016

Wirtschaftsforschung

  • Algerien,
  • Angola,
  • Allgemeine Wirtschaft

23 Nov 2016

Economic Outlook

Pressures on international trade are mounting around the globe and the outlook is increasingly uncertain.

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    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Germany

    Marktmonitor

    • Deutschland
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    In 2015 production is expected to increase at around 2%, the same level as in 2014.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Brazil

    Marktmonitor

    • Brasilien
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    The machinery sector in Brazil is being severely impacted by an economic downturn (Brazilian GDP is expected to contract 1.5% in 2015).

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Czech Republic

    Marktmonitor

    • Tschechische Republik
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    Payments in the Czech machinery sector take around 40 days, with ‘days sales outstanding’ (DSO) for smaller businesses of about 50 days.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - USA

    Marktmonitor

    • Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    Compared to other US industries the rate of insolvencies is low in the machinery sector, and it is expected that business failures will level off or even decrease slightly (by about 1%) in H2 of 2015.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Italy

    Marktmonitor

    • Italien
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    The outlook for the machinery industry is promising, as the Italian economy is expected to grow 0.6% in 2015 and 0.9% in 2016 after two years of contraction.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - France

    Marktmonitor

    • Frankreich
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    The machinery sector should benefit from the economic rebound in France, with GDP forecast to grow 1.1% in 2015 (after 0.2% in 2014) and stronger growth in industrial production and exports.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - China

    Marktmonitor

    • China
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    China’s machinery sector has seen high overcapacity: profits of machinery businesses will be squeezed further by fierce competition, as companies have to offer lower prices to keep market shares.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Sweden

    Marktmonitor

    • Schweden
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    The Swedish machinery sector has seen many positive developments over the past few years and currently benefits from higher global demand.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Hungary

    Marktmonitor

    • Ungarn
    • Maschinen/-bau

    31 Jul 2015

    Hungary has become a key production base for automotive majors such as Audi, Daimler (Mercedes-Benz), Suzuki and General Motors.

    MENA Country Report - Jordan

    Länderbericht

    • Vereinigte Arabische Emirate
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    02 Jul 2015

    Jordan’s economic growth is expected to accelerate from 3.1% in 2014 to 4.3% in 2015.

    MENA Country Report - Egypt

    Länderbericht

    • Ägypten
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    02 Jul 2015

    In 2015 and 2016 Egypt’s economy is expected to grow by more than 4%, as improved stability in the country will boost domestic demand.

    MENA Country Report - UAE

    Länderbericht

    • Vereinigte Arabische Emirate
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    02 Jul 2015

    Despite the UAE’s overall diversification, the lower oil price is expected to take its toll on economic growth.

    MENA Country Report - Tunisia

    Länderbericht

    • Tuniesien
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    02 Jul 2015

    Tunisia’s economy is expected to grow moderately in 2015 and 2016, supported by increased demand from the eurozone.

    MENA Country Report - Saudi Arabia

    Länderbericht

    • Saudi-Arabien
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    02 Jul 2015

    Saudi Arabia’s GDP growth is expected to slow down to 3.0% in 2015 following a growth of 3.6% in 2014.

    MENA Country Report - Morocco

    Länderbericht

    • Marokko
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    02 Jul 2015

    An expected rebound in agriculture will lead to higher GDP growth in 2015, forecast to increase 4.6%. Growth is also sustained by increasing exports, mainly to the eurozone.

    MENA Country Report - Kuwait

    Länderbericht

    • Kuwait
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    02 Jul 2015

    In 2015, Kuwait's economic growth is expected to decrease to 1.7% due to the lower oil price and decreased oil production.

    Russia update: economic and industry outlook

    Industry Match-up Reports

    • Russland
    • Allgemeine Wirtschaft

    01 Jul 2015

    Concerns in 2014 over an impending crisis in Russia were overblown. But insolvencies have increased and specific industries are affected badly by the ongoing recession.

    Country Report Japan 2015

    Länderbericht

    • Japan
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    30 Jun 2015

    Despite its growing economy, Japan faces major demographic challenges. There is an urgent need to make the labour market more flexible to achieve a sustainable rebound and boost economic performance.

    Country Report Italy

    Länderbericht

    • Italien
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    After three years of contraction, Italy’s economy is expected to grow by 0.6% in 2015.

    Country Report United Kingdom

    Länderbericht

    • Großbritannien
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    The UK economy expanded by 2.6% in 2014, the fastest pace of growth since 2007. While consumer spending was the main driver, real fixed investments also increased.

    Country Report Switzerland

    Länderbericht

    • Schweiz
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    While exports, industrial production and investments are expected to decrease year-on-year in 2015, private consumption is expected to rise 1.1% in 2015.

    Country Report Sweden

    Länderbericht

    • Schweden
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    The Swedish economy is set to grow by 2.4 % in 2015, with industrial production rebounding after three years of decline. Household consumption and investment growth are expected to continue.

    Country Report Spain

    Länderbericht

    • Spanien
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    Spain’s real fixed investment and industrial production are expected to continue to grow and exports are also expected to accelerate in 2015.

    Country Report The Netherlands

    Länderbericht

    • Niederlande
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    The rebound of the Dutch economy is expected to accelerate in 2015, with export growth accompanied by a recovery in private consumption, industrial production and investment.

    Country Report Ireland

    Länderbericht

    • Irland
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    In 2015, Ireland’s economy is forecast to grow by 3.6%, backed by exports to the US and UK where demand is picking up. Private consumption is expected to increase further.

    Country Report Germany

    Länderbericht

    • Deutschland
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    In contrast to previous years when exports provided the main contribution to German economic growth, household consumption is expected to become the key driver in 2015.

    Country Report France

    Länderbericht

    • Frankreich
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    In 2015 the French economy is expected to grow 1.1% as private consumption, manufacturing and exports improve. However, this projected growth rate remains below the forecast eurozone average of 1.4%.

    Country Report Denmark

    Länderbericht

    • Dänemark
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    The Danish economy is expected to rebound further, with a 1.8% expansion forecast for 2015 as private consumption and investment growth accelerate and export growth continues.

    Country Report Belgium

    Länderbericht

    • Belgien
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    Belgian economic growth accelerated to 1.0% in 2014 after two years of weak performance. This improvement is expected to continue in 2015, with 1.2% growth in GDP forecast.

    Country Report Austria

    Länderbericht

    • Österreich
    • Agrar/Landwirtschaft,
    • Autozulieferer/Transport,

    01 Jun 2015

    After modest growth in 2013 (up 0.3%) and 2014 (up 0.4%) the Austrian economy is expected to see a modest 0.8% surge in 2015.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Turkey

    Marktmonitor

    • Türkei
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    There are positive signs for the Turkish chemicals industry. In 2015, the chemicals sector is expected to grow driven by increasing demand and the positive effects of the lower oil prices.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - UK

    Marktmonitor

    • Großbritannien
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    Growth in the chemicals sector is forecast to continue in 2015, on the back of UK’s robust economic performance.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Switzerland

    Marktmonitor

    • Schweiz
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    Chemicals/pharmaceuticals has been a well performing sector in Switzerland; demand and profit margins are expected to remain stable in 2015.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Singapore

    Marktmonitor

    • Singapur
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    In 2015, Singapore’s GDP is forecast to grow a modest 3 %, and the production of chemicals is expected to grow at the same rate.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Mexico

    Marktmonitor

    • Mexiko
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    The chemicals sector in Mexico is expected to grow modestly in 2015 due to the country’s lower economic growth (forecast 2.6 % in 2015).

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Netherlands

    Marktmonitor

    • Niederlande
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    In Q1 2015, the Dutch chemicals sector saw an increase in production and exports. Additionally, it is expected that Dutch chemicals businesses ́ investments will increase in 2015.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Italy

    Marktmonitor

    • Italien
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    In 2015 Italian chemicals production is forecast to grow 1.4 %, due to increasing exports (up 3.2 %) and the first signs of improving domestic demand (up 1.3 %) after four years of contraction.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Belgium

    Marktmonitor

    • Belgien
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    The Belgian chemicals sector is expected to grow in 2015, helped by a weaker euro, lower oil prices and a eurozone rebound.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - USA

    Marktmonitor

    • Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    The chemicals sector is benefiting from the on-going US economic growth. US chemicals production growth is expected to increase 3.7 % in 2015 and 3.9 % in 2016 (after growing 2 % in 2014).

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Spain

    Marktmonitor

    • Spanien
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    Since 2000, the Spanish chemicals sector has increased its exports by more than 170 %, demonstrating its competitive edge in the global market.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - Germany

    Marktmonitor

    • Deutschland
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    German chemicals/pharmaceuticals businesses have a strong market position, and many are highly specialised. The industry has a well-deserved reputation for innovation and a competitive edge.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - France

    Marktmonitor

    • Frankreich
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    The chemicals sector ́s export share (mainly in Europe) amounts to more than two thirds of overall sales. French businesses are in strong competition with international players, especially the US.

    Market Monitor - Chemicals performance - China

    Marktmonitor

    • China
    • Chemie/Pharma

    01 Jun 2015

    Chemicals production in China is expected to increase 8.5 % in 2015 following the 8.8 % growth rate registered in 2014.

    Market Monitor - ICT Industry - UAE

    Marktmonitor

    • Vereinigte Arabische Emirate
    • Elektronik

    21 Mai 2015

    The UAE’s ICT market is currently characterised by high competition, single-digit margins, low entry barriers and stagnating growth in sub-segments like PCs and desktops.

    Market Monitor - ICT Industry - The Netherlands

    Marktmonitor

    • Niederlande
    • Elektronik

    21 Mai 2015

    In 2015, the Dutch ICT sector is expected to grow 3 % in volume, on the back of the country’s economic rebound (GDP is forecast to grow 1.7 %).

    Market Monitor - ICT Industry - Germany

    Marktmonitor

    • Deutschland
    • Elektronik

    21 Mai 2015

    The German ICT sector generally has good growth prospects, but low margins, sharp price erosion and steep competition lead to an on-going trend of consolidation.

    Market Monitor - ICT Industry - Brazil

    Marktmonitor

    • Brasilien
    • Elektronik

    21 Mai 2015

    The ICT sector has seen a decline due to the economic downturn in Brazil, with decreasing demand, exchange rate volatility and high interest rates.

    Market Monitor - ICT Industry - Australia

    Marktmonitor

    • Australien
    • Elektronik

    21 Mai 2015

    Australia’s ICT sector continues to perform well while the IT market in particular is expected to have considerable medium-term growth potential.

    Market Monitor - ICT Industry - Italy

    Marktmonitor

    • Italien
    • Elektronik

    21 Mai 2015

    In combination with a forecast rebound of the Italian economy (up 0.7 %), the ICT sector is expected to record a modest growth of 0.6% in 2015.

    Market Monitor - ICT Industry - India

    Marktmonitor

    • Indien
    • Elektronik

    21 Mai 2015

    Robust growth is expected to continue over the medium term, with compound annual growth rate forecast at 11.6 % for 2015-2019.

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