Given the positive economic outlook for 2017 with household consumption forecast to increase above 3% , robust consumer durables sales growth is expected.
Weaker players have disappeared while other businesses chose to merge with other peers in order to survive, and the concentration process will continue.
The risk of a downturn in the domestic real estate market could dampen higher growth prospects in the furniture and domestic appliances segments in 2017.
While in 2017 a modest economic rebound after two years of contraction is expected, Brazilian business insolvencies will continue to increase by about 10%.
Growth has slowed down due to the end of the commodity boom and weaker doemstic demand, but the business environment remains one of the best in the region.
Against a backdrop of heightened political uncertainty, the Dutch economy is holding firm. A centre-right coalition is the most likely outcome of the elections.
The recovery of the Dutch construction sector continued in 2016, but there is still overcapacity in the market, and a consolidation has yet to take place.
Italian building cooperatives and smaller companies focused on domestic residential construction remain highly exposed to the risk of business failure.
Future US construction growth could get an additional boost if, as announced, the new US administration invests heavily in infrastructure improvements.
A modest recovery is forecast in the non-residential segment due to stronger private demand and activity picking up in the infrastructure building sector.
Due to the deterioration in demand competition has increased, as builders operate on lower margins in order to obtain the remaining available business.
Private building projects are expected to decrease due to less benign economic conditions and an increased supply completed housing projects and offices.
The price of oil has stabilised, largely thanks to OPEC’s shift in policy. The market is expected to rebalance in 2018 driving up prices in the medium term.
India’s economic growth outlook for 2017 remains robust, but a rather weak banking sector and high foreign indebtedness of domestic firms remain concerns.
Despite an expected GDP growth rate of more than 5% in 2017 structural weaknesses remain, and firms are increasingly vulnerable to currency volatility.
A prudent fiscal policy has limited the consequences of low oil and gas prices, but the economy is vulnerable to a hard landing of the Chinese economy.
GDP growth is expected to remain at a level of about 6% in 2017, but growing political uncertainty could hamper business sentiment and foreign investment.
Growing competition from mainland China in the electronics sector require productivity increases and a diversification of the economy in the long-term.
High growth of more than 6% in 2017, but economic fundamentals still show some weaknesses and Vietnamese businesses suffer from limited access to capital.
Gas prices have bottomed out and Atradius expects them to increase over the period up to 2021. Demand will be more moderate, but fueled primarily by China.
Developments in the US related to the election of Donald Trump and its expected effect on the US monetary policy path and international trade introduce significant uncertainty for EMEs in 2017.
While German food exports continue to increase, domestic market conditions have become increasingly difficult. Overcapacity is an issue in some segments.
Smaller food retailer and wholesalers margins remain under pressure and are expected to lose further market share, while customer behaviour is changing.
Exports are of major importance for the French food sector (especially for the beverages segment), positively contributing to the French trade balance.
Large food businesses are active globally and performing well, while smaller producers and wholesalers generally face tough competition and low margins.